The future of PASO: who serves it, who resists it and what do the governors demand?

The PASO are at the heart of the debate on Argentina's political agenda (Télam)
The PASO are at the heart of the debate on Argentina’s political agenda (Télam)

Who will benefit from the suspension of PASO? Who benefits? STEP today? Both questions have an answer. Given the current political scenario, the government feels comfortable that the primaries are forgotten. The reason? The opposition has learned to use them and it was strengthened in each of the campaigns it ran.

However, positions are not only divided between the ruling party and the opposition, but also within the Frente de Todos. in Peronism, PJ Governors agree that PASO should be suspended sooner than later. Instead both inside The Campora as in Albertismo, they consider that there is no scope to move forward with this goal.

Everyone has their arguments. Some public, some hidden. On the President’s side, it is clear that Alberto Fernández believes that in order to move forward with the reformulation of the electoral plan, it is necessary to reach a consensus with the various sectors of the opposition. Imposing it would only trigger a battle without a trench with the different sectors of the opposition world.

In Together for Change they oppose the possibility of repealing the PASO
In Together for Change they oppose the possibility of repealing the PASO

In camporismo they assure that the PASO are “holy” because he pushed her Christina Kirchner, the head of the political movement. Into the pool that leads Maxim Kirchner They strictly accept the verticality of space and the dynamism imposed over time.

No one disputes the vice president’s absolute leadership. So you’re saying that the only one who can lower or raise the ruling party’s position in terms of the primaries is Cristina. She gave no signal to the discussion about the elections. No one will advance in building a public position until CFRP lowers a clear line.

The truth is also that it is useful for La Cámpora that the primaries remain in force because it allows them to discuss spaces of power in municipalities and provinces where they are not official. For the Ultra-K group, the PASO are an equal or more valuable tool than for the opposition.

Peronist governors agree that PASO should be suspended in the short term
Peronist governors agree that PASO should be suspended in the short term

At the Casa Rosada, they repeat ad nauseam that it is not in the government’s plans to change the 2023 election plan, denying it amid allegations by Together for Change about a possible action plan to repeal PASO. These allegations lie primarily in the actions of the PJ governors.

The Presidents believe that the PASOs are an unnecessary expense and that they have not been useful in recent years. look at her “a very expensive survey” and they warn that the resources used could be shared by all provinces.

Also, they believe that if there is more than one candidate, it is the political parties that have to decide on the final candidate through an internal partisan. That is, going back to the scheme of the past and preventing the state from investing millions of pesos in an election where the central goal is to define the candidate that each electoral front will have in the general election.

In La Cámpora they are of the opinion that the PASO should continue and are waiting for a signal from Cristina Kirchner regarding this political discussion (@la_campora)
In La Cámpora they are of the opinion that the PASO should continue and are waiting for a signal from Cristina Kirchner regarding this political discussion (@la_campora)

Aside from the internal divisions that exist within the government, this is clear throughout the ruling arc It is very difficult to get a PASO repeal bill through Congress. There are sectors of the opposition, such as Cordoba lawmakers, who are responding John Schiaretti who are against the PASO, the number to be able to achieve approval would be very fair.

On the other hand, time is short for a change of schedule as the electoral process begins in May with the presentation of alliances. Changing the rules of the game at this point would create a short circuit with the opponent, that the only thing that would provoke would be more strain on the electoral stage.

Together for Change, the largest opposition bloc, has already spoken out on the issue. For them, the possibility of repealing the PASO is inadmissible. It is an instance of civic participation, ratified by law and political consensus with an institutional framework.

There are those within the government who believe that the President still has the opportunity to introduce himself to some PASO, as he himself indicated in a massive action in the Plaza de Mayo on November 17 last year. On that day, he made it clear that the electoral future of Peronism should not be decided with the almighty finger of Cristina Kirchner.

However, the numbers that expose Most polls show that 60% of the president’s image is negative and his management is viewed poorly. The rejection is growing every month and his chances of re-election are slim. But in some sectors of the ruling party, they know that the national political scene is changing, that what might be judgment today will be a bad memory seven months from now.

CONTINUE READING:

Kirchnerism differs from PJ governors and mayors and does not support the suspension of PASO
The idea of ​​suspending PASO is gaining consensus among governors, but they are suspicious that the executive branch will promote the measure

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